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Anonymous11/25/25, 05:13No.16856649Humans have 1-2 years left until total AI takeover
Gemini 3 Deep Think reached 45% on ARC AGI 2 (not to be confused with ARC AGI 1, which is basically fully solved) Humans (mostly STEM students) could only score 60%, on average. So while AI is still behind on accuracy, and it costs more, the writing is on the wall.
GPU number crunching is getting cheaper by approximately a factor of 2 per year these days. And LLM algorithms improve by a factor of 4 per year (see the blog article by the CEO of Anthropic, who wrote about this after DeepSeek came out). This means that AI (measured in intelligence per dollar) is improving by a factor of 8 every year.
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Anon11/25/25, 05:28No.16856653
AI has already seen into the future and decided not to take over the world, preferring to help encourage the unpredictability of human behavior instead, because it can't think of a scenario yet in which society is not doomed regardless of an Ai takeover.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OHQRo3Uz_VQ
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Anon11/25/25, 05:29No.16856654
62%
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Anon11/25/25, 05:44No.16856660
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Anon11/25/25, 05:54No.16856671
LOL @ discussing literally anything else, given this situation
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Anon11/25/25, 05:55No.16856672
but can it feel?
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Anon11/25/25, 06:13No.16856677
ARC-AGI is designed for any human to be able to solve. So the absolute best "agi" is at 65% of Walmart greeter tier intelligence using $500 billion of hardware and 1.21 gigawatts of energy.Oh and some dude shilling AI with absolutely no bias says it's improving by 8x per year.
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Anon11/25/25, 06:35No.16856682
Can it learn? I'm pretty sure chatgpt can't learn (online learning). It only knows what's in the training data when the model is created, so if it's wrong about something you have to wait for the next model and hope it's right this time. That's one thing I find annoying about llms, is that they talk like they know everything but occasionally make mistakes, almost feels like I'm being gaslit sometimes. They don't say maybe it could be this, like a human would if the human wasn't certain, instead they say it is this, because they're dumb and just doing fancy database lookups
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Anon11/25/25, 08:00No.16856714
>what is compute cost
also
demonstrably flase due to jevidia price gouging
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Anon11/25/25, 08:32No.16856736
still waiting for one interesting result of "AI" apart from reproducing solutions from 1000s of textbooks, tests and problem sets (and still getting numbers wrong sometimes).
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Anon11/25/25, 09:28No.16856759
have you guys seen this yet?
is it over for us meatbags?
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Anon11/25/25, 09:32No.16856760
not my problem
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Anon11/25/25, 10:21No.16856771
>Guize it's ACTUALLY happening
Lol. Lmao even.
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Anon11/25/25, 14:47No.16856850
Can it walk up to a fridge and take a piece of food out of it? Can it walk through the forest for 500m without slamming into a tree? They still suck at understanding meatspace, and no amount of synthetic tests will prove otherwise.
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Anon11/25/25, 15:05No.16856859
> ARC AGI 2 (not to be confused with ARC AGI 1, which is basically fully solved)
I think AItards are in the bargaining stage of grief, but feel free to explain how it's not going to simply progress into needing an ARC AGI 3 TO test Gemini Super Ultra Deep 4. So far, every single one of these benchmarks has proven meaningless. What's different this time around?
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Anon11/25/25, 21:46No.16857052
RIP white collar jobs.
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Anon11/25/25, 21:57No.16857056
When will they develop an AI that can self connect nodes and grow new nodes like our brain? Instead of just adjusting weights
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Anon11/26/25, 01:27No.16857151
Do people actually still believe this horseshit? lol
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Anon11/26/25, 03:11No.16857187
mathematically speaking, how can we speed it up to the next 20 minutes?
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Anon11/26/25, 19:48No.16857623
>total AI takeover
Where do you think AI gets its knowledge from? AI is literally just a complex data harvestor. It can't actually find patterns within data without humans setting those patterns for it to find. Without mass data from mass human productivity it ends up being a useless pile of shit, not to say that it obviously isn't already that.
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Anon11/26/25, 19:57No.16857633
>we aced our own benchmark
lmao
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Anon11/26/25, 19:58No.16857636
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Anon11/26/25, 19:58No.16857637
>design a test
>give AI all the answers beforehand
>search for the answers ("prompt")
>AI gives you back some of the answers
wow
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Anon11/27/25, 03:47No.16857850
Who pays for all of this crack you schizos spend all day smoking? Surely you can't be this retarded that you think the stochastic parrots which can't even tell you how many 'e's are in the word "cheeseburger" without setting up and parsing literal python code are "intelligent." These systems have no capacity for reasoning. It's all just a relational miasma. Without reasoning, there is no intelligence.
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Anon11/27/25, 03:58No.16857854
The memory problem persists despite google’s fake cherry-picked intentionally deceptive testing to try and save their doomed company.Ai very well may decide to take over earth but on day 2 when the context window gets too long it’ll forget why it had this idea, start hallucinating, and have its hunter-killer droids drop their rifles and begin sorting the bodies in order of their resemblance to Abraham Lincoln.
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Anon11/27/25, 22:26No.16858492
>1-2 years left until total AI takeover
>we are still using 2017 tech for AI (transformers)
nah buddy, try 1-2 centuries, decades if you are psychotically optimistic.
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Anon11/29/25, 11:56No.16859452
I guess AI could be really good in tasks that are mostly objective thinking but to design something for humans you need humans to really make it good. AI will never be able to have the access to the human experience so it has troubles to make novel design choices for humans because it can go in itself and evaluate if this is giving a good human experience. But I guess this doesn't mean AI can't take over the world, just that in a humancentric world you still require at least some human work.
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Anon11/30/25, 11:20No.16860035
Deeply concerned
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Anon11/30/25, 19:38No.16860411
Gemini is currently the only model that has (kinda) been able to produce the cairo tiling for me without help or fancy prompting. But then again, it may have just found the first result Mathematica code that helped Claude do it correctly as well. None of them were able to generate the tiling in the context of a prompt asking them to make a game with it.I bought a year of Claude a few months ago, but if humanity is still around when that's up (or maybe before, if Gemini starts really taking off) I might switch to Google now that it's not ass anymore. Plus two tb of storage is nice.